Market Signals
observations with evidence context
This section is for strategy researchers: compare signal type, direction, severity, linked instruments, and update behavior. Inspect the evidence and market regime before deciding whether an observation deserves further testing. Filters narrow the research set; they do not turn a signal into a recommendation.
Market signal overview
Aggregated signal pressure by market. Click a row to filter.
Recent Signal Activity
LiquidityBearish
Peg deviation driven by liquidity drain and redemption stress
Сигнал выявляет ситуацию, когда при одновременном росте выкупов и уменьшении резервной глубины возникает расхождение между рыночной ценой и заявленной паритетной ценностью; это связано с...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBearish
Peg dislocation during liquidity stress events
When liquidity providers withdraw and centralized venue inventories decline, markets can trade away from the intended reference value for prolonged periods, exposing participants to settlement and...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Perpetual funding and basis divergence predicts TRX short squeezes or corrections
Large persistent positive funding rates and elevated perp basis versus spot often precede sharp corrections as long positions become crowded; conversely, strongly negative funding can indicate...
Severity
3/5
SentimentBearish
Perpetual funding divergence as a real‑time sentiment proxy
A persistent negative funding rate on FIL perpetual futures (shorts paying longs) signals bearish market sentiment and deleveraging pressure; conversely, sustained positive funding signals bullish...
Severity
3/5
SentimentBearish
Perpetual Funding Divergence Signals Crowded Longs
Pattern: sharp positive funding rates and widening basis on KEY perpetuals relative to spot and BTC indicate crowded long sentiment, increasing likelihood of short squeezes and sharp corrections.
Severity
3/5
PositioningBearish
Perpetual Funding / Open Interest Divergence Signal
Разрыв между ростом открытого интереса в деривативах STPT и отрицательными funding rates часто предвещает давления на цену: при росте OI и доминировании шортов funding становится отрицательным, что...
Severity
3/5
SentimentNeutral
Perpetual funding skew and derivatives positioning as sentiment gauge for KP3R
Persistent positive (negative) perp funding rates and open interest tilt toward longs (shorts) signal bullish (bearish) market sentiment.
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBullish
Perpetual Funding Spike and Short Squeeze Setup for ROSE
A sharp positive funding-rate spike and rising perpetual open interest concentrated on ROSE indicates long pressure and potential squeeze on shorts.
Severity
3/5
SentimentBearish
Persistent adverse funding rates signaling directional crowding
When funding rates remain persistently positive or negative, it signals that a concentrated directional bias exists with leverage in derivatives markets; abrupt shifts or unwind events in funding...
Severity
3/5
TechnicalBullish
Persistent AMM WBTC-ETH imbalances create arbitrage buy opportunities
When liquidity pools show consistent WBTC underweight versus ETH (price deviates on DEXes), arbitrageurs rebalance by minting or buying WBTC on open markets.
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBearish
Persistent Ask Wall Growth and Bid Depth Decay Signals Selling Pressure
A sustained increase in large persistent sell walls and a relative decay in bid-side depth on WABI's primary trading venues signals mounting selling pressure and fragile price support.
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Persistent Basis Divergence Between Spot and Derivatives
Длительное отклонение фьючерсной или форвардной базы от спотовой цены сигнализирует о структурном давлении спроса на финансирование или экспозиции; такая диссинхронизация часто предшествует...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Persistent basis divergence between spot and derivatives markets
Divergence between futures basis (or funding rates) and spot prices reflects cross-market frictions: persistent premia indicate convenience yield differences, capital constraints or hedging demand,...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Persistent basis divergence indicates funding and liquidity stress
When the spread between spot and futures (or implied funding levels) moves persistently away from historic norms, it reflects changes in financing conditions, margin demand, or market expectations...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Persistent basis divergence signals settlement and funding stress
Широкая и продолжительная база (разница между спотом и фьючерсами/бессрочными контрактами) отражает несбалансированные интересы участников по срокам владения и финансированию.
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBearish
Persistent basis widening between derivative and spot markets
When the spread between derivatives basis (e.g., futures basis or funding rates) and underlying spot converges to an elevated level and fails to revert, it reflects liquidity strain, margining...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBearish
Persistent depth asymmetry between bids and asks
Сигнал фиксирует ситуацию, когда агрегированная глубина по одной стороне рынка регулярно ниже противоположной из-за оттока провайдеров или особенностей стимулов; такая структурная асимметрия делает...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityBearish
Persistent derivative basis signals funding stress and liquidity squeeze
A widening and persistent positive or negative basis between perpetual derivative funding and spot levels reflects directional leverage and can indicate crowded positions that are vulnerable to...
Severity
3/5
SentimentNeutral
Persistent derivative funding bias signals directional sentiment pressure
When funding rates on perpetual instruments remain persistently positive or negative, the derivatives market carries a directional bias that increases vulnerability to squeezes and sharp...
Severity
3/5
LiquidityNeutral
Persistent derivative funding imbalances indicate liquidity stress
Когда ставки финансирования стабильно положительны или отрицательны, это отражает односторонние ставки участников и дефицит противоположной ликвидности; такой дисбаланс может приводить к накоплению...
Severity
3/5
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