recession-indicator

2 financial instruments currently grouped under the "recession-indicator" tag for thematic market research.

Name By Signal Most Connected

US 10Y-2Y Treasury SpreadT10Y2Y
Classic recession signal — yield curve inversion predicting economic downturns with 12-18 month lead.
bonds
US 10Y-3M Treasury SpreadT10Y3M
Fed's preferred recession indicator — short vs. long rate mismatch signaling policy overtightening.
bonds

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