Inside the Markets
US
Debt Markets
16 debt markets instruments in the US region on Barfinex.
Instruments
→13-Week Treasury BillBearish signalUltra-short US government rate — money market anchor, Fed policy transmission and risk-free cash return.
→CBOE 10-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalReal-time market-derived pricing of US duration risk.
→CBOE 30-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalUltra-long duration pricing of US fiscal and inflation trajectory.
→CBOE 5-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalReal-time mid-curve pricing for rate strategists and hedgers.
→US 10Y-2Y Treasury SpreadBearish signalClassic recession signal — yield curve inversion predicting economic downturns with 12-18 month lead.
→US 10Y-3M Treasury SpreadBearish signalFed's preferred recession indicator — short vs. long rate mismatch signaling policy overtightening.
→US 10-Year TIPS YieldBearish signalReal yield on inflation-protected Treasuries — the market's inflation-adjusted return expectation.
→US 10-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalThe world's risk-free rate — prices everything from mortgages to corporate bonds across the globe.
→US 1-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalOne-year Treasury rate — front-end Fed expectations and short-duration cash management benchmark.
→US 20-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalLong-duration Treasury — pension liability matching, insurance reserves and structural interest rate views.
→US 2-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalFed policy expectations barometer — the rate that moves first on FOMC signals and dot plots.
→US 30-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalLongest US government bond — generational inflation expectations, pension demand and fiscal sustainability.
→US 5-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalMid-curve Treasury benchmark — inflation breakeven anchor and intermediate-term rate expectations.
→US 7-Year Treasury YieldBearish signalTreasury sweet spot between belly and long end — popular auction maturity for foreign central banks.
→US High Yield Bond IndexBearish signalJunk bond yield tracking distressed credit conditions — default risk pricing and recession early warning.
→US Investment Grade Corporate Bond YieldBearish signalCorporate credit spread barometer — the cost of capital for investment-grade US companies.