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US Core PCE Price Index

US Core PCE Price Index

Financial data

Key metrics

Data as of Jan 31, 2025
Core PCE Indexi
Most recently published value of this indicator
Source: FRED PCEPILFE / BEA
123.03
Prior Monthi
Value from the previous reporting period
Source: FRED PCEPILFE / BEA
122.7
YoY Changei
Change compared to the same period one year ago
Source: FRED PCEPILFE / BEA
2.80%
+2.80%vs Dec 2023
MoM Changei
Change compared to the previous month
Source: FRED PCEPILFE / BEA
0.20%
+0.20%vs Nov 2024

Financial statements

Core PCE Overview

Dec 2024 · FRED / BEA
Latest Valuei123.027index
Prior Month Valuei122.696index
1Y Ago Valuei119.68index
YoY Changei2.80%%+2.80%
FrequencyiMonthly
Release Datei2025-01-31

Description

US Core PCE Price Index is a widely tracked macroeconomic indicator that provides critical insight into consumer price dynamics, purchasing power and real yield. Published by official statistical agencies or industry bodies, it serves as a reference point for investors, policymakers and analysts assessing the economic trajectory of the United States. The indicator's methodology is designed to capture structural shifts rather than short-term noise, making it a reliable input for medium- and long-term portfolio positioning. From a market perspective, US Core PCE Price Index exerts influence across multiple asset classes. Equity markets respond to its readings as a gauge of corporate earnings potential, while fixed-income markets price in the implied trajectory of monetary policy. Currency traders use deviations from consensus as catalysts for positioning in USD-denominated pairs. Commodity markets, particularly those sensitive to industrial demand, factor this indicator into supply-demand models that drive pricing across the physical and derivatives complex. The indicator's structural importance lies in its role within the transmission mechanism of consumer price dynamics, purchasing power and real yield. For the United States, shifts in this metric signal changes in the balance between aggregate demand and supply capacity, affecting real interest rates, credit conditions and the cost of capital. Institutional investors incorporate it into macro overlay strategies, risk parity frameworks and tactical asset allocation models, adjusting exposures based on trend direction and rate of change. Monitoring US Core PCE Price Index requires attention to revision patterns, seasonal adjustments and methodological changes that can affect comparability over time. Cross-referencing with complementary indicators — such as PMI surveys, employment data and financial conditions indices — provides a more robust signal. For systematic strategies, the indicator's release schedule creates predictable volatility windows that can be integrated into event-driven and momentum frameworks across equity, fixed income, currency and commodity markets.

macro-fundamentalbenchmarkregime-signal

Key persons

Influence & narrative

Disclaimer regarding person-related content and feedback: legal notice.

Market signals

Most influential for US Core PCE Price Index
Neutral0

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Key risks

macro-risk
This risk may negatively affect the instrument’s performance under certain market conditions.
measurement-methodology-changes
This risk may negatively affect the instrument’s performance under certain market conditions.

The list of risks is not exhaustive and highlights the most material structural and market-related factors.

Portfolio role & behavior

Economic role

benchmarkregime-signal

Behavior

macro-fundamental

The information provided is for analytical and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Any decisions are made independently by the user and at their own risk.

For details, see legal terms.

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